Course Outline

  • Modelling in government
  • Hypothesis testing
    • Why test a hypothesis?
    • Type I and type II errors
  • Estimating the tax gap
  • Case studies using econometric & regression models in government
  • Forecasting and time series models in government
    • Shocks, trends and seasonality
    • Forecasting tax receipts using regression and econometric modelling 
    • Sensitivity analysis and validation
  • Prediction validation techniques. 
  • Hold out samples 
  • Prediction intervals
  • Comparative analysis of forecasts 
    • Forecast Performance Measures
  14 Hours
 

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Dates are subject to availability and take place between 09:30 and 16:30.
Open Training Courses require 5+ participants.

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